Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 48.2% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 97.5%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 54.6%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 76.4%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
Last 5: Galchenyuk 0-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (654)
56.2% (603)
-8.2%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
71.4% (21)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
49.3% (148)
-11.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
Home
50.2% (442)
55.5% (366)
Away
44.6% (307)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Gaustad
P1
45.2%
55.0%
P2
53.5%
56.9%
P3
46.3%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |