Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 45.9%). Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 53.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 61.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Last 7: Galchenyuk 1-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Galchenyuk
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Galchenyuk
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
45.4% (4,699)
+2.0%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
51.5% (928)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
35.0% (226)
-1.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Galchenyuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,024).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Home
47.2% (1,504)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Gagner
P1
45.3%
44.6%
P2
47.9%
46.1%
P3
46.6%
47.3%
OT
59.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | OT | 03:37 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |