Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 43.7% vs Gagner 48.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 61.4%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 64.5%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 63.9%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Last 6: Galchenyuk 1-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Galchenyuk
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Galchenyuk
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (542)
46.5% (310)
-4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (99)
50.4% (115)
-6.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Galchenyuk is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Gagner
Home
41.1% (331)
52.4% (212)
Away
44.4% (311)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Gagner
P1
44.8%
46.2%
P2
42.7%
52.2%
P3
39.6%
43.6%
OT
63.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
42.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |