Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 63.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 76.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Galchenyuk
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Galchenyuk
Steel
Last 7: Galchenyuk 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
50.6% (2,876)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
62.6% (179)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
37.4% (254)
-4.1%
On power play, Steel has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,767).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Steel
Home
47.2% (1,504)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Steel
P1
45.3%
51.9%
P2
47.9%
49.5%
P3
46.6%
49.6%
OT
59.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |