Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Monahan 51.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 81.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Galchenyuk
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Galchenyuk
Monahan
Last 5: Galchenyuk 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
0
Galchenyuk
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
50.8% (723)
-2.7%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
53.3% (152)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
46.2% (13)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Monahan
Home
50.9% (214)
52.5% (421)
Away
40.1% (197)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Monahan
P1
44.8%
51.4%
P2
45.7%
52.3%
P3
46.3%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |