Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 45.8% vs Smith 51.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 67.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Galchenyuk
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Galchenyuk
Smith
Last 9: Galchenyuk 4-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
0
Galchenyuk
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Galchenyuk
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Galchenyuk
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (118)
52.6% (635)
-7.7%
Power Play
30.0% (20)
45.5% (44)
-15.5%
On power play, Smith has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Galchenyuk is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Smith
Home
41.8% (79)
53.4% (371)
Away
44.1% (59)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Smith
P1
40.5%
50.2%
P2
38.5%
52.2%
P3
51.2%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
37.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
42.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |