Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 48.2% vs Smith 51.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 57.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 86.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 63.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Galchenyuk
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Galchenyuk
Smith
Last 8: Galchenyuk 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
0
Galchenyuk
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Galchenyuk
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
0
Galchenyuk
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (654)
53.6% (550)
-5.6%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
53.5% (71)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
43.5% (108)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Smith
Home
50.2% (442)
56.5% (352)
Away
44.6% (307)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Smith
P1
45.2%
52.0%
P2
53.5%
51.5%
P3
46.3%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 11, 2015 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |