Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Killorn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Killorn wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.6% vs Desharnais 50.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 87.9%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 82.1%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 87.1%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 86.7%
13.3%
86.7%
Killorn
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Killorn
Desharnais
Last 6: Killorn 6-0 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
3
0
Killorn
Desharnais
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
1
0
Killorn
Desharnais
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Killorn
2
0
Killorn
Desharnais
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
50.1% (973)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
57.9% (202)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
25.9% (27)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Killorn is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Killorn shoots left. Desharnais is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Killorn
Desharnais
Home
44.0% (75)
52.7% (592)
Away
42.3% (97)
49.0% (610)
By Period
Killorn
Desharnais
P1
47.8%
52.2%
P2
46.3%
52.5%
P3
35.7%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
43.0%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Alex Killorn |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Alex Killorn |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |