Alex Killorn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Killorn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Killorn wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.0% vs Pageau 52.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 50.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 79.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Killorn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Killorn
Pageau
Last 8: Killorn 5-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
3
0
Killorn
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Killorn
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (65)
54.1% (882)
-18.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
45.0% (60)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.8% (235)
+3.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Killorn is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Killorn shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Killorn
Pageau
Home
35.7% (42)
54.7% (592)
Away
42.1% (38)
49.6% (585)
By Period
Killorn
Pageau
P1
32.0%
51.0%
P2
42.9%
54.3%
P3
40.7%
51.8%
Final 5 min
30.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
38.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |