Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Killorn wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 40.2% vs Goc 52.3% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 82.9%
Defensive zone
Goc 65.6%
Neutral zone
Killorn 64.9%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Killorn
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Killorn
Goc
Last 6: Killorn 2-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Killorn
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Killorn
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Killorn
1
0
Killorn
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (480)
53.0% (3,301)
-14.5%
Power Play
50.6% (87)
58.0% (314)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.3% (75)
47.4% (728)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Killorn is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Killorn shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Killorn
Goc
Home
38.9% (303)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
38.3% (339)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Killorn
Goc
P1
35.3%
51.9%
P2
42.8%
53.1%
P3
37.8%
52.4%
OT
27.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
38.6%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 2, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |