Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Laferriere shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs Laferriere 43.3% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 69.0%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 56.6%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 67.5%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Lowry
Laferriere
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Laferriere
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Laferriere
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
2
Lowry
Laferriere
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
1
Lowry
Laferriere
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Laferriere
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Laferriere
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
42.1% (321)
+13.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
52.9% (17)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
37.1% (70)
+4.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laferriere shoots right. Lowry is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Lowry shoots left. Laferriere is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Lowry
Laferriere
Home
54.5% (402)
40.3% (201)
Away
54.1% (351)
43.0% (207)
By Period
Lowry
Laferriere
P1
52.4%
33.3%
P2
56.3%
40.0%
P3
54.7%
48.2%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
Laferriere
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |