Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Steel 50.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 66.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 65.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Laferriere
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Laferriere
Steel
Last 7: Laferriere 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
0
Laferriere
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Laferriere
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (322)
52.5% (200)
-10.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
71.4% (7)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
40.0% (45)
-2.9%
On power play, Steel has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Laferriere is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Laferriere shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Steel
Home
40.3% (201)
49.5% (109)
Away
42.8% (208)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Laferriere
Steel
P1
33.1%
49.5%
P2
40.0%
47.5%
P3
48.2%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |