Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Hayton 52.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 56.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Newhook
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Hayton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
1
Newhook
Hayton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
52.5% (646)
-10.9%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
56.8% (111)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
36.8% (19)
+17.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hayton
Home
44.1% (93)
56.9% (432)
Away
38.9% (72)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Newhook
Hayton
P1
36.0%
53.1%
P2
37.9%
50.3%
P3
52.1%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
35.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |