Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Giroux 60.9% (-20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 58.2%
Neutral zone
Newhook 60.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Newhook
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Giroux
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Newhook
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Newhook
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
60.3% (395)
-18.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
67.3% (107)
-47.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
65.4% (153)
-10.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Newhook is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Newhook shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Newhook
Giroux
Home
44.1% (93)
65.9% (337)
Away
38.9% (72)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Newhook
Giroux
P1
36.0%
62.1%
P2
37.9%
64.5%
P3
52.1%
60.9%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
35.1%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |