Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 42.7%). Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs McMichael 43.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 59.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 63.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 57.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Newhook
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Newhook
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
42.4% (399)
-0.8%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
49.1% (55)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
40.6% (96)
+13.9%
On power play, McMichael has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Newhook
McMichael
Home
44.1% (93)
43.0% (298)
Away
38.9% (72)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Newhook
McMichael
P1
36.0%
46.5%
P2
37.9%
41.1%
P3
52.1%
41.3%
Final 5 min
35.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |