Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 48.2% vs Vilardi 46.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 59.9%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 71.2%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 57.7%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Newhook
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Newhook
Vilardi
Last 6: Newhook 2-4 Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
0
1
Newhook
Vilardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
2
3
Newhook
Vilardi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
45.2% (564)
-0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.3% (45)
-53.3%
On power play, Vilardi has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Newhook is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Newhook shoots left. Vilardi is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Newhook
Vilardi
Home
36.8% (19)
47.3% (330)
Away
50.0% (18)
44.4% (304)
By Period
Newhook
Vilardi
P1
53.8%
49.0%
P2
40.0%
43.2%
P3
33.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
43.2%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |