Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 92.0%
Defensive zone
Newhook 81.5%
Neutral zone
Newhook 88.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Newhook
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Newhook
Eller
Last 10: Newhook 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Newhook
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Newhook
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Newhook
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
51.1% (10,296)
-9.6%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
52.8% (621)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
46.7% (1,751)
+0.4%
On even strength, Eller has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Newhook
Eller
Home
41.6% (1,061)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Newhook
Eller
P1
39.9%
51.2%
P2
41.9%
50.1%
P3
43.1%
50.2%
OT
80.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |