Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Brown 39.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 60.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 59.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 58.7%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Newhook
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Newhook
Brown
Last 7: Newhook 2-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Newhook
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
4
Newhook
Brown
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,850)
37.4% (457)
+4.1%
Power Play
44.1% (204)
39.4% (33)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
25.0% (4)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
Newhook shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Newhook
Brown
Home
41.3% (1,014)
39.7% (239)
Away
42.2% (1,057)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Newhook
Brown
P1
39.8%
39.8%
P2
42.2%
33.7%
P3
42.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
41.8%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |