Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Tanguay wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Roy 47.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tanguay 74.4%
Defensive zone
Tanguay 73.5%
Neutral zone
Tanguay 72.4%
Result
Alex Tanguay favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Tanguay
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tanguay
Roy
Last 10: Tanguay 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tanguay
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Tanguay
Roy
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Tanguay
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
46.4% (3,031)
-7.0%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
53.6% (560)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
46.8% (267)
-8.6%
On power play, Roy has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Tanguay is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Tanguay shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Roy
Home
38.9% (203)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
40.0% (180)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Tanguay
Roy
P1
42.9%
47.6%
P2
35.9%
46.2%
P3
40.3%
48.5%
OT
36.7%
43.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |