Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tanguay wins 36.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tanguay 75.1%
Defensive zone
Tanguay 72.9%
Neutral zone
Tanguay 76.9%
Result
Alex Tanguay favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Tanguay
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tanguay
Getzlaf
Last 8: Tanguay 2-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Tanguay
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Tanguay
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Tanguay
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
49.6% (10,258)
-10.2%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
54.9% (1,381)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
44.8% (1,055)
-6.6%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Tanguay is 36.2% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tanguay shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Getzlaf
Home
38.9% (203)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
40.0% (180)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Tanguay
Getzlaf
P1
42.9%
49.2%
P2
35.9%
50.4%
P3
40.3%
49.7%
OT
36.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |