Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tanguay wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 51.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 67.9%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Tanguay
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tanguay
Plekanec
Last 6: Tanguay 3-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Tanguay
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tanguay
2
0
Tanguay
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Tanguay
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
50.8% (8,558)
-11.4%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
51.3% (1,151)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
46.0% (1,924)
-7.8%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Tanguay is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Tanguay shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Plekanec
Home
38.9% (203)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
40.0% (180)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Tanguay
Plekanec
P1
42.9%
52.5%
P2
35.9%
48.9%
P3
40.3%
49.0%
OT
36.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 17, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |