Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Tanguay wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 44.9% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 55.9%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 79.5%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 64.7%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Tanguay
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tanguay
Plekanec
Last 5: Tanguay 3-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Tanguay
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tanguay
2
0
Tanguay
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tanguay
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (42)
49.8% (1,095)
-14.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
49.4% (174)
+50.6%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
47.3% (364)
-12.5%
On power play, Tanguay has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Tanguay is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Tanguay shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Plekanec
Home
33.3% (36)
49.4% (789)
Away
41.9% (31)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Tanguay
Plekanec
P1
30.8%
51.9%
P2
42.1%
48.8%
P3
34.5%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
39.6%
Final 5 min
26.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
37.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Alex Tanguay |