Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 96.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 87.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Tuch
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tuch
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
2
0
Tuch
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (475)
54.1% (5,812)
-15.4%
Power Play
43.3% (203)
54.8% (135)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (107)
47.9% (1,381)
-4.9%
On even strength, Thompson has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Tuch is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Tuch shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Tuch
Thompson
Home
42.2% (393)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
38.8% (392)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Tuch
Thompson
P1
45.0%
53.2%
P2
40.7%
52.9%
P3
35.7%
52.8%
OT
22.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
40.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |