Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tuch on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tuch 83.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.9%
Neutral zone
Tuch 55.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Tuch
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Tuch
Bonino
Last 10: Tuch 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
5
0
Tuch
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
5
Tuch
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Tuch
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
50.6% (8,315)
-11.9%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
54.1% (972)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
44.6% (1,693)
-1.4%
On even strength, Bonino has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Tuch
Bonino
Home
42.1% (394)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
38.8% (402)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Tuch
Bonino
P1
44.7%
50.6%
P2
40.6%
48.5%
P3
36.0%
51.1%
OT
27.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |