Scouting Report
Philipp Kurashev holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Kurashev 44.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 54.8%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 66.1%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 64.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Tuch
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tuch
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
44.6% (924)
-5.9%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
43.6% (156)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
42.1% (38)
+1.1%
On even strength, Kurashev has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Kurashev is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Tuch
Kurashev
Home
42.1% (394)
44.5% (521)
Away
38.8% (402)
44.2% (597)
By Period
Tuch
Kurashev
P1
44.7%
46.1%
P2
40.6%
44.4%
P3
36.0%
42.9%
OT
27.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
39.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |