Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Turcotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Turcotte 53.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 59.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 61.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 54.5%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Gaudette
Turcotte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudette
Turcotte
Last 7: Gaudette 3-4 Turcotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
0
2
Gaudette
Turcotte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Turcotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Turcotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Turcotte
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
53.6% (461)
-7.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
70.0% (10)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turcotte shoots left. Gaudette is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Gaudette shoots right. Turcotte is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Turcotte
Home
48.4% (91)
53.2% (263)
Away
47.4% (133)
55.0% (209)
By Period
Gaudette
Turcotte
P1
45.2%
57.2%
P2
51.9%
59.6%
P3
45.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |