Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.2% vs Washe 55.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 84.6%
Defensive zone
Washe 51.7%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 60.4%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Turcotte
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Washe
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Washe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
3
Turcotte
Washe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Turcotte
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (460)
60.9% (207)
-7.4%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
100.0% (3)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.7% (48)
+58.3%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Washe is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Washe
Home
53.2% (263)
63.3% (120)
Away
54.8% (208)
52.9% (138)
By Period
Turcotte
Washe
P1
57.0%
60.2%
P2
59.6%
61.0%
P3
44.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
38.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Washe
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |