Who wins more faceoffs, Alexander Burmistrov or Connor McDavid?

Connor McDavid leads the head-to-head 6-3 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Alexander Burmistrov's faceoff record against Connor McDavid?

Alexander Burmistrov is 3-6 against Connor McDavid in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-2, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Alexander Burmistrov or Connor McDavid?

Alexander Burmistrov is the predicted winner with a 52.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Alexander Burmistrov vs Connor McDavid

Alexander BurmistrovL vs Connor McDavidL

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Burmistrov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Burmistrov 42.5% vs McDavid 43.9% (-2.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McDavid 55.9%

Defensive zone Burmistrov 66.3%

Neutral zone Burmistrov 55.3%

Result Alexander Burmistrov favored at 52.8%

52.8%

47.2%

Burmistrov McDavid

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 6 (9 meetings)

Burmistrov McDavid

Last 9: Burmistrov 3-6 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Burmistrov McDavid

4 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Burmistrov McDavid

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: McDavid

Burmistrov McDavid

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Burmistrov

McDavid

Edge

Even Strength

42.6% (392)

43.3% (750)

-0.7%

Power Play

30.4% (23)

40.0% (25)

-9.6%

Penalty Kill

18.2% (22)

41.9% (31)

-23.7%

On penalty kill, McDavid has a +23.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

McDavid shoots left. Burmistrov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (311).

Burmistrov shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).

Home / Away

Burmistrov

McDavid

Home

43.8% (210)

48.7% (413)

Away

37.9% (227)

37.4% (393)

By Period

Burmistrov

McDavid

40.8%

38.8%

39.3%

46.8%

40.9%

44.2%

100.0%

45.5%

Final 5 min

34.5%

54.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Burmistrov

46.0%▼

48.0%

40.7%

McDavid

50.0%▬

50.0%

43.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 14, 2017	3	06:08	Defensive	Alexander Burmistrov
Feb 14, 2017	3	03:17	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Feb 14, 2017	2	16:31	Defensive	Connor McDavid
Feb 14, 2017	1	15:40	Offensive	Connor McDavid
Feb 14, 2017	1	08:19	Offensive	Alexander Burmistrov
Jan 16, 2017	1	14:03	Offensive	Alexander Burmistrov
Jan 16, 2017	1	03:41	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Jan 16, 2017	1	03:34	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Oct 23, 2016	1	15:11	Offensive	Connor McDavid

Burmistrov's Profile | McDavid's Profile