Alexander Burmistrov vs Derek Stepan
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Burmistrov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Burmistrov wins 35.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 41.7% vs Stepan 47.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Burmistrov
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Burmistrov
Stepan
Last 6: Burmistrov 5-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
2
1
Burmistrov
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
2
0
Burmistrov
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
1
0
Burmistrov
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (419)
46.6% (889)
-7.5%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
46.9% (113)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (56)
47.5% (101)
-1.1%
On even strength, Stepan has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Burmistrov is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Burmistrov shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Stepan
Home
43.6% (273)
47.7% (555)
Away
36.0% (239)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Burmistrov
Stepan
P1
39.2%
46.4%
P2
42.0%
45.7%
P3
37.9%
48.5%
OT
57.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
36.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
40.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |