Alexander Burmistrov vs Jason Spezza
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Burmistrov wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 44.9% vs Spezza 53.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 58.4%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 59.7%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 59.2%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Burmistrov
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Burmistrov
Spezza
Last 6: Burmistrov 2-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burmistrov
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
Burmistrov
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (476)
53.8% (1,283)
-10.5%
Power Play
62.2% (37)
52.8% (303)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
29.5% (44)
49.4% (89)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Burmistrov is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Burmistrov shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Spezza
Home
41.8% (311)
56.4% (853)
Away
46.6% (253)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Burmistrov
Spezza
P1
47.3%
53.4%
P2
40.0%
54.2%
P3
45.9%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
35.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
44.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |