Alexander Burmistrov vs Josh Bailey
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Burmistrov wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 42.6% vs Bailey 45.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 54.2%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 54.4%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 52.8%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Burmistrov
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Burmistrov
Bailey
Last 6: Burmistrov 2-4 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burmistrov
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
3
Burmistrov
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (598)
44.2% (441)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
48.1% (81)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
41.7% (84)
-5.0%
On power play, Burmistrov has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Burmistrov is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Burmistrov shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Bailey
Home
43.4% (348)
43.1% (295)
Away
39.7% (348)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Burmistrov
Bailey
P1
47.5%
46.5%
P2
41.6%
45.7%
P3
35.3%
41.3%
OT
28.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
42.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
41.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |