Alexander Burmistrov vs Nathan MacKinnon

2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Burmistrov wins 35.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Burmistrov 41.7% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Burmistrov 73.1%
Defensive zone Burmistrov 80.5%
Neutral zone Burmistrov 71.9%
Result Alexander Burmistrov favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Burmistrov MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Burmistrov MacKinnon
Last 9: Burmistrov 2-7 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Burmistrov MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Burmistrov MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Burmistrov MacKinnon
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (419)
48.2% (849)
-9.1%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
51.0% (151)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (56)
44.7% (47)
+1.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Burmistrov is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Burmistrov shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
Home
43.6% (273)
51.2% (521)
Away
36.0% (239)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
P1
39.2%
49.9%
P2
42.0%
48.0%
P3
37.9%
47.9%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
36.9%
53.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%
48.0%
40.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 12, 2016 2 17:30 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 12, 2016 2 04:02 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 12, 2016 1 03:51 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 28, 2015 3 10:54 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 28, 2015 2 14:40 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 28, 2015 2 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 28, 2015 1 04:48 Neutral Alexander Burmistrov
Nov 23, 2015 2 15:24 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 23, 2015 2 05:51 Offensive Alexander Burmistrov