Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Burmistrov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Burmistrov wins 35.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 41.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 75.5%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Burmistrov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Burmistrov
Dowd
Last 5: Burmistrov 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Burmistrov
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
1
0
Burmistrov
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
2
1
Burmistrov
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (419)
53.6% (28)
-14.5%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
60.0% (5)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (56)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Burmistrov has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Burmistrov is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Burmistrov shoots left. Dowd is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Dowd
Home
43.6% (273)
54.5% (11)
Away
36.0% (239)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Burmistrov
Dowd
P1
39.2%
50.0%
P2
42.0%
45.5%
P3
37.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
36.9%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
40.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |