Alexander Burmistrov vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Burmistrov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 42.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Burmistrov 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
2
0
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (392)
45.0% (1,011)
-2.4%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
46.7% (135)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
31.1% (122)
-12.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Burmistrov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Burmistrov shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
43.8% (210)
43.8% (625)
Away
37.9% (227)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Burmistrov
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.8%
47.8%
P2
39.3%
39.5%
P3
40.9%
44.2%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
34.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
40.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |