Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Staal 49.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 76.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Kerfoot
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kerfoot
Staal
Last 6: Kerfoot 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
49.3% (485)
-8.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.0% (58)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
0.0% (4)
+36.6%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Staal
Home
40.3% (139)
51.7% (265)
Away
41.2% (165)
46.5% (282)
By Period
Kerfoot
Staal
P1
36.8%
52.7%
P2
42.1%
48.3%
P3
44.6%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |