Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Haula 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 52.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 58.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kerfoot
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kerfoot
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
3
Kerfoot
Haula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
50.2% (516)
-1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.9% (58)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
48.7% (39)
-36.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Kerfoot shoots left. Haula is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Haula
Home
28.0% (25)
49.8% (321)
Away
64.7% (17)
51.7% (292)
By Period
Kerfoot
Haula
P1
47.6%
51.8%
P2
25.0%
50.5%
P3
55.6%
49.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.9%
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |