Scouting Report
Gaetan Haas holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Haas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Haas 46.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 64.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 57.9%
Neutral zone
Haas 54.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Kerfoot
Haas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kerfoot
Haas
Last 5: Kerfoot 2-3 Haas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Haas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
0
1
Kerfoot
Haas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Haas
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
44.2% (240)
-2.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.0% (8)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
50.0% (58)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Haas has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haas shoots right. Kerfoot is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Kerfoot shoots left. Haas is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Haas
Home
40.3% (139)
46.8% (190)
Away
41.2% (165)
43.1% (116)
By Period
Kerfoot
Haas
P1
36.8%
43.6%
P2
42.1%
42.1%
P3
44.6%
50.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
40.8%
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |