Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Eichel 48.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 71.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 56.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kerfoot
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kerfoot
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
2
Kerfoot
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Kerfoot
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
47.7% (858)
+4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.6% (63)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
44.8% (87)
-19.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Eichel
Home
39.2% (51)
47.7% (509)
Away
57.1% (63)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Kerfoot
Eichel
P1
51.1%
49.5%
P2
51.6%
48.5%
P3
44.4%
46.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |