Alexander Kerfoot vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 50.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 66.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Kerfoot
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Kerfoot
Spezza
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
7
Kerfoot
Spezza
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
Kerfoot
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
8
2
Kerfoot
Spezza
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
54.4% (7,990)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
56.8% (1,726)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
52.7% (643)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,375).
Kerfoot shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Spezza
Home
51.0% (1,786)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Kerfoot
Spezza
P1
47.2%
55.7%
P2
46.0%
54.4%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
29.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |