Alexander Kerfoot vs Jason Spezza
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Spezza 55.1% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 53.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Kerfoot
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kerfoot
Spezza
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
4
Kerfoot
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Kerfoot
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
1
Kerfoot
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
56.4% (654)
-14.4%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
51.7% (87)
-8.8%
On even strength, Spezza has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kerfoot is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Kerfoot shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Spezza
Home
43.2% (250)
61.4% (352)
Away
40.9% (242)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Kerfoot
Spezza
P1
39.2%
60.6%
P2
43.9%
54.8%
P3
43.1%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |