Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Beagle 54.7% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 75.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 60.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 60.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kerfoot
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kerfoot
Beagle
Last 8: Kerfoot 4-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Kerfoot
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
3
Kerfoot
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
59.0% (212)
-17.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.0% (2)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
50.0% (94)
-13.4%
On even strength, Beagle has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Kerfoot is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Kerfoot shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Beagle
Home
40.3% (139)
57.9% (171)
Away
41.2% (165)
54.0% (137)
By Period
Kerfoot
Beagle
P1
36.8%
53.3%
P2
42.1%
61.5%
P3
44.6%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |