Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Turris 48.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 58.8%
Defensive zone
Turris 56.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 64.2%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Kerfoot
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kerfoot
Turris
Last 9: Kerfoot 5-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
Kerfoot
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
1
Kerfoot
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
49.7% (165)
-8.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
40.0% (15)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
37.5% (24)
-0.9%
On even strength, Turris has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kerfoot is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Kerfoot shoots left. Turris is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Turris
Home
40.3% (139)
48.5% (99)
Away
41.2% (165)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Kerfoot
Turris
P1
36.8%
49.2%
P2
42.1%
51.9%
P3
44.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |