Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Cullen 50.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 68.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 67.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Kerfoot
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kerfoot
Cullen
Last 7: Kerfoot 2-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Kerfoot
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Kerfoot
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
50.1% (637)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
50.0% (8)
-7.1%
On even strength, Cullen has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Kerfoot is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Kerfoot shoots left. Cullen is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Cullen
Home
43.2% (250)
50.5% (400)
Away
40.9% (242)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Kerfoot
Cullen
P1
39.2%
49.8%
P2
43.9%
48.8%
P3
43.1%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |