Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Koivu 52.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 59.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Kerfoot
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kerfoot
Koivu
Last 5: Kerfoot 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Kerfoot
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Kerfoot
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
53.9% (592)
-6.6%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
54.2% (96)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
48.8% (123)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kerfoot is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Kerfoot shoots left. Koivu is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Koivu
Home
53.2% (216)
52.8% (386)
Away
39.8% (191)
53.4% (425)
By Period
Kerfoot
Koivu
P1
43.2%
51.7%
P2
46.6%
54.8%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
46.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |