Alexander Kerfoot vs Nate Thompson
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Thompson 50.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 83.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Kerfoot
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Kerfoot
Thompson
Last 9: Kerfoot 1-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kerfoot
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Kerfoot
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Kerfoot
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
49.6% (230)
-8.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.0% (2)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
53.8% (52)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Thompson
Home
40.3% (139)
52.2% (134)
Away
41.2% (165)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Kerfoot
Thompson
P1
36.8%
54.5%
P2
42.1%
48.0%
P3
44.6%
48.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |