Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Bonino 53.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 86.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 78.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 82.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Kerfoot
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Kerfoot
Bonino
Last 6: Kerfoot 0-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Kerfoot
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
5
Kerfoot
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
56.4% (771)
-14.4%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
60.0% (30)
-17.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kerfoot is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bonino
Home
43.2% (250)
56.5% (531)
Away
40.9% (242)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bonino
P1
39.2%
56.7%
P2
43.9%
48.1%
P3
43.1%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |