Alexander Kerfoot vs Paul Stastny
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Stastny 54.0% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 62.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Kerfoot
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kerfoot
Stastny
Last 9: Kerfoot 3-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Kerfoot
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Kerfoot
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
52.5% (432)
-11.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
60.4% (154)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
66.7% (6)
-30.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stastny
Home
40.3% (139)
58.3% (307)
Away
41.2% (165)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stastny
P1
36.8%
57.4%
P2
42.1%
51.7%
P3
44.6%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |