Alexander Kerfoot vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 59.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kerfoot
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Kerfoot
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
53.2% (823)
-0.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.3% (159)
+44.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
48.4% (95)
-23.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Monahan
Home
39.2% (51)
54.6% (529)
Away
57.1% (63)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Kerfoot
Monahan
P1
51.1%
49.0%
P2
51.6%
55.4%
P3
44.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |