Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 55.0% vs Rask 47.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 75.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 71.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Kerfoot
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kerfoot
Rask
Last 5: Kerfoot 4-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (457)
46.6% (397)
+9.9%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
58.1% (31)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kerfoot is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Kerfoot shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Rask
Home
60.8% (237)
50.0% (202)
Away
51.6% (252)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Kerfoot
Rask
P1
56.8%
51.1%
P2
50.9%
43.2%
P3
60.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
56.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |