Scouting Report
Alexander Steen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Steen wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 49.1% vs Stepan 45.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Steen
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Steen
Stepan
Last 7: Steen 2-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
4
Steen
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Steen
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steen
2
0
Steen
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (400)
43.8% (1,141)
+6.7%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
52.2% (253)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (105)
43.2% (118)
+2.5%
On power play, Stepan has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Steen is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Steen shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Home / Away
Steen
Stepan
Home
52.7% (260)
47.8% (828)
Away
45.6% (281)
42.0% (684)
By Period
Steen
Stepan
P1
51.1%
49.5%
P2
45.0%
42.0%
P3
50.9%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |